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Paul Biya’s Departure and Negotiations between the Two Cameroons

Negotiations with the two Cameroons

Paul Biya’s Departure and Negotiations between the Two Cameroons

A preliminary Analysis
By Ray Baba

October 8, 2018.

There has been a lot of ink flowing within the last 24 hrs following the elections that took place in neighboring LRC yesterday October 7th.

One particular point of discussion among Ambazonians on social media was with regards to the congratulatory message sent by the Interim government to Prof. Maurice Kamto, the preliminary incumbent president of LRC. Some have said it was too early to do so because he was not yet confirmed and it will put us in a bad position if Biya is proclaimed the winner.

Others insinuated that Biya will not leave power, just to prove to Camerounese that he is the lion man of Etoudi who has vowed to combat Ambazonian “terrorists” and Boko Haram, through phone and Skype conference calls from his residence in Switzerland.

While these fears and worries may or may not be justified, as a political observer and analyst, I can authoritatively state here that Paul Biya Mbi Mvondo the former king of LRC will not be in Etoudi come November 2018.

First of all, Maurice Kamto and Muna are two renown international lawyers who know the law and have connections in very high places. They could not come out strongly to make such declarations at the press conference if they did not have all the electoral statistics to justify their victory. They are in possession of materials to back their proclamation , reasons why Kamto spoke confidently. Remember, it is their credibility that is at stake.

As far as Biya’s departure is concerned, that point is non debatable.

Biya is under tremendous international pressure as we speak. He is receiving phone calls from different World leaders, asking him to let go of power. Even Emmanuel Macron is busy on the phone with other world leaders, asking him to allow change to happen in CameroUN- an extended province of Metropolitan France.

As a matter of fact, Prof. Kamto will be getting phones calls either from the French Embassy in Yaounde or directly from Paris. Paris will be seeking to find out Kamto’s position vis-a-vis French economic interests and investments in CameroUN. Once France is assured of the protection of their interests, they will push Biya out themselves after using him for 36 years. If their interest is not secured, France will push Biya to resist change and a civil war will begin in LRC. There is no third option. France does not care if the entire CameroUN goes in flames, as long as they can protect their economic interests. That is what they do.

However, the chances of Biya accepting defeat and leaving power are higher than the chances of him staying in power.

If Biya stays in power through manipulation, there will be a mass protest in LRC and guns will start sounding in that part of Central Africa.

Biya is not ready to face the fury of the Bamilekes ( the descendants of Um Nyobe and Ernest Ouandie) who still live with the scarce of 1955-1970’s. Biya is not ready for that.

Biya does not want, and cannot afford a war on three fronts – namely Boko Haram in the North, Southern Cameroons in the West of the Mungo and another in the heartbeats of LRC cities of Yaounde-Douala-Dshang (Kamto’s region of origin).

Thanks to social media, the International Community can see the irregularities at different polling stations. They know the regime’s results will be doctored, hence , not credible. The game is sealed. Therefore, congratulatory messages are welcomed.

What we, as Ambazonians need to do at this point is to prepare our team of negotiators, because Negotiations will be taking place very soon. The Interim Government needs to start selecting the list of accredited and knowledgeable legal and civil society experts both Ambazonians and Foreigners, as well as approach the US government for support in the process. Unlike our foster mother – the United Kingdom who abandoned us when we needed her the most, the United States government has been very supportive of our cause.

We cannot and should not wait for the last minute to begin searching for those who will represent Southern Cameroonian/Ambazonians at the negotiation table.

We must be prepared in advance and ready to grab our independence once and for all.

Let us not repeat the mistakes of our forefathers Foncha-Endeley at the Foumban conference.

Long Live Ambazonia

In God We Trust

Ray Baba

Activist, political Analyst
and Strategist.

Otto Ama
5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Sunshine

    October 9, 2018 at 3:02 PM

    THE IG MUST PRESENT ONE STATEMENT AND STAND ON IT.

    Indeed, the IG should make hay while the sun shines! The IG needs to sit up now and prepare a negotiation platform that is one statement, not two and lead Ambazonians to properly secure their country. Keep Britain out – the country that has continuously betrayed us. The IG should start meeting with all those who are to sit on the negotiation table to work on the one STATEMENT. All strata of the Ambazonian community must be represented. The world needs to know our single STAND.

  2. Malis

    October 9, 2018 at 4:39 PM

    The IG or any other group are not the ones to negotiate with the government of LRC.

    The IG only has to do everything to ensure that our leaders and people help under captivity are all unconditionally released.

    Only Sisiku, those who make up his government and those that will be selected by ambazonians are going to negotiate our separation. We will not allow anyone to select themselves and impose that on to us.

    Until this is a reality, our Amba Boys and Girls are not going to entertain any nonsense, dreams or illusions. Total fighting continues.

    • Shillah

      October 11, 2018 at 8:21 PM

      Which separation? Are u people insane? Who want to negotiate with thugs? Kmer one n indivisible. Biya must finished wit u as he started. Ur kamto is calling now for election cancellation,

  3. Mukong

    October 9, 2018 at 6:32 PM

    Biya should not leave. Since he proclaimed himself as demi god he should be prepared to dance to the tune of his own music. One man cannot cause unimaginable pain to so many people and someone dare talk about giving him a free pass!

  4. dzu

    October 12, 2018 at 4:20 AM

    You Guys should tone down the hard talk . with M.Kamto in power you can be sure that Cameroon will be a different place – everything that man touches tuns into gold .we will soon turn that place into a paradise where we will all live , in no need to fight or separate .

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